Itokawa 2004 Planning


Background


Summary:

In June 2004, both Arecibo and Goldstone will attempt delay-Doppler imaging of near-Earth asteroid 
25143 Itokawa (1998 SF36), the target of Japan's Hayabusa (formerly MUSES-C) sample-return mission.  
The goals are to develop an optimally-refined physical model of the asteroid in preparation for Hayabusa's 
2005 encounter, to use radar ranging to assist detection of Yarkovsky nongravitational (thermal emission) 
alteration of the asteroid's orbit, and to help to detect and measure "YORP" thermal-emission alteration 
of the asteroid's spin state.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Science Background:

Asteroid 25143 Itokawa (1998 SF36) was discovered on Sep. 26, 1998, by LINEAR (MPEC 1998-S45).  Of the 
roughly 1100 currently known near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) at least as bright (that is, with absolute
magnitude H < 18.8), Itokawa is distinguished by having the lowest delta-V for a spacecraft rendezvous:
4.29 km/s vs. 5.95 for 433 Eros. This attribute is why the Japan's Hayabusa (formerly MUSES-C) mission 
to return a sample from an asteroid selected Itokawa as their target. The Hayabusa spacecraft is en route 
to a June 2005 rendezvous and a June 2007 return of the sample to Earth.

Visible and near-infrared spectroscopy (Binzel et al. 2001) suggested that Itokawa has a surface 
composition like that of ordinary chondrite meteorites and is similar in spectral characteristics 
and modeled olivine/pyroxene content to the LL chondrite class.  Kaasalainen et al. (2003) present 
photometry and an analysis yielding estimates of the asteroid's sidereal spin period, 
P = 12.132 +/- 0.0005 h, and pole direction: ecliptic long., lat. = 355, -84 +/- 5 deg. They estimated 
a three-dimensional shape, concluding that Itokawa is "elongated, with rough global dimension ratios 
a/b = 2.0, b/c = 1.3, but the elongation is not due to a bifurcated shape. The surface is not likely 
to contain major concavities. No significant albedo variegation was detected."

We carried out radar observations of Itokawa during its 2001 close approach, obtained images with 
15-meter resolution, and used those images along with photometric results to construct a preliminary 
estimate of Itokawa's shape (Ostro et al. 2004).  Our model can be described as a slightly asymmetrical, 
slightly flattened ellipsoid with extents along its principal axes of 548 x 312 x 276 m +/- 10%.  
Itokawa's topography is very subdued compared to that of other asteroids for which spacecraft images or 
radar reconstructions are available. The asteroid's radar reflectivity and polarization properties 
indicate a near-surface bulk density within 20% of 2.5 g/cm^3.
 
The orientational coverage of the strongest images from 2001 is more limited than that of the data sets 
used for other radar-derived 3-D models, in part because the asteroid's nearly half-day rotation period 
prevents any appreciable day-to-day migration in Arecibo's rotation-phase window..  The effect of this 
limitation on the reconstruction's accuracy depends strongly on the asteroid's detailed physical 
characteristics and may also extend to our ability to discern subtleties of the asteroid's spin state.

Fortunately, Itokawa's June 2004 close approach (Table 1) will bring it to within about one-third of its 
2001 minimum distance, and we expect that radar echoes during the observations proposed here will be very 
much stronger than those obtained in 2001.  Arecibo images will be an order of magnitude stronger than 
Goldstone images.  Our intention is to observe Itokawa at Arecibo at high signal-to-noise ratios until 
it goes south, and then for several days at Goldstone.

The strong 2001 images were confined to subradar latitudes between +18 and +46 deg and the less than 40% 
of a rotation between west longitudes 135 and 276 deg.  Our Arecibo tracks are at negative latitudes and, 
more importantly, west longitudes not imaged at all by Arecibo in 2001.  

We plan to use Goldstone to observe the asteroid at southern latitudes, which are needed to produce 
a new model that is more accurate, especially in its reconstruction of the shape of the asteroid's 
southern "hemisphere".

The primary goal of our observations is to obtain decameter-resolution delay-Doppler images and to 
construct a refined Itokawa physical model, which is to be used by the Hayabusa Mission to orchestrate 
close-orbit maneuvering and sampling operations next year. Significant improvement in the fidelity of 
our reconstruction of Itokawa's shape, topography and spin state are expected.  Additional, related 
goals are to use our images to help to measure Itokawa's nongravitational "Yarkovsky" acceleration as 
well as its "YORP" thermal-emission rotational slowing, as follows.

The Yarkovsky effect, a very subtle nongravitational phenomenon involving acceleration of a rotating 
object due to its anisotropic thermal emission of absorbed sunlight, can cause an object's orbit to 
undergo semimajor axis drift (Rubincam 1995, Farinella et al. 1998, Bottke et al.  2000).  Vokrouhlicky' 
et al. (2000) predicted that radar-refined orbits with sufficiently long astrometric time bases could 
permit detection of nongravitational acceleration of NEAs due to the Yarkovsky effect, and Chesley et al. 
(2003) recently achieved such a detection for 6489 Golevka.  The available radar+optical astrometry may 
not allow detection of the Yarkovsky effect during Itokawa's close approach in June 2004, but if our 
proposed observations are successful, then range-Doppler tracking of the Hayabusa spacecraft during its 
2005 Itokawa encounter should detect the effect.

The Yarkovsky-O'Keefe-Radzievskii-Paddack (YORP) effect is the alteration of an asteroid's spin state by 
torques from the reflection and thermal re-emission of sunlight from the asteroid's surface (Rubincam 2000, 
Voukrouhlicky' and Capek 2002, Vokrouhlicky' et al. 2003).  Vokrouhlicky' et al. (2004) predict that YORP 
rotational slowing of Itokawa should be detectable using optical lightcurves and radar images with a 
2001-2004 time base.  As with the Yarkovsky effect, the YORP effect depends on the asteroid's physical 
properties, including its shape, rotation state, mass, and surface properties.  Therefore, the proposed 
observations can help to constrain not just Itokawa's shape and spin state, but its mass and thermal 
properties as well.


REFERENCES 

Binzel R. P., A. S. Rivkin, S. J. Bus, J. M. Sunshine and T. H. Burbine 2001.  MUSES-C target asteroid 
(25143) 1998 SF36: A reddened ordinary chondrite.  Meteorit. Planet. Sci. 36, 1167-1172.

Bottke, W. F. Jr., D. P. Rubincam, and J. A. Burns 2000. Yarkovsky thermal forces. Icarus 145, 301-331.

Chesley, S. R., S. J. Ostro, D. Vokrouhlicky', D. Capek, J. D. Giorgini, M. C. Nolan, J. L. Margot, 
A. A. Hine, L. A. M. Benner, and A. B. Chamberlin 2003.  Direct detection of the Yarkovsky effect via 
radar ranging to asteroid 6489 Golevka.  Science 302, 1739-1742.

Farinella D., D. Vokrouhlicky', and W. K. Hartmann W. K. 1998. Meteorite delivery via Yarkovsky orbital 
drift.  Icarus 132,378-387.

Kaasalainen, M., T. Kwiatkowski, M. Abe, J. Piironen, T. Nakamura, Y. Ohba, B. Dermawan, T. Farnham, 
F. Colas, S. Lowry, P. Weissman, R. J. Whiteley, D. J. Tholen, S. M. Larson, M. Yoshikawa, I. Toth, and 
F. P. Velichko 2003.  CCD photometry and model of MUSES-C target (25143) 1998 SF36.  Astron. Astrophys. 
405, L29-L32.

Ostro, S. J., L. A. M. Benner, M. C. Nolan, C. Magri, J. D. Giorgini, D. J. Scheeres, S. B. Broschart, 
M. Kaasalainen, D. Vokrouhlicky', S. R. Chesley, J. L. Margot, R. F. Jurgens, R. Rose, D. K. Yeomans, 
S. Suzuki, and E. M. De Jong 2004.  Radar observations of asteroid 25143 Itokawa (1998 SF36).  
Meteorit. Planet. Sci. 39, 407-424.

Rubincam, D. P. 1995.  Asteroid orbit evolution due to thermal drag. J. Geophys. Res. 100, 1585-1594.

Rubincam, D. P. 2000.  Radiative spin-up and spin-down of small asteroids.  Icarus  148, 2-11.

Vokrouhlicky', D., A. Milani and S. R. Chesley 2000.  Yarkovsky effect on small near-Earth asteroids: 
Mathematical formulation and examples. Icarus 148, 118-138.

Voukrouhlicky', D. and D. Capek 2002.  YORP-Induced long-term evolution of the spin state of small 
asteroids and meteoroids: Rubincam's approximation.  Icarus 159, 449-467.

Vokrouhlicky', D., D. Nesvorny, and W. F. Bottke, Jr. 2003. The vector alignments of asteroid spins 
by thermal torques. Nature 425, 147-151.
 
Vokrouhlicky', D., D. Capek, M. Kaasalainen, and S. J. Ostro 2004. Detectability of YORP rotational 
slowing of asteroid 25143 Itokawa. Astron. Astrophys. 414, L21-L24.

Last updated: 2004 June 24


Ephemeris, SNRs, Assigned Tracks, Uncertainties

                  UTC TX Windows        
              ---------------------                    
               Arecibo    Goldstone                        Itokawa        Max SNR/Run 
             start-stop   start-stop    RA  Dec   Dist.    Subradar       ----------- 
              hhmm-hhmm   hhmm-hhmm     deg deg    AU     Lat. W.Long       A     G 
 
167  June 15  unavailable               125 +10   0.040    -5  88 @AOX     970  
168  June 16  unavailable               125  +9   0.037    -7  77 @AOX    1300       
169  June 17  unavailable 1800-0200     124  +7   0.034    -9  66 @AOX    1700    90 
170  June 18  1753-1946                 123  +4   0.031   -11  55 @AOX    2400   130 
171  June 19  1800-1923                 122  +1   0.027   -14  45 @AOX    3200   200 
172  June 20              0100-0200     121  -3   0.025   -19                0   300 
173  June 21              1745-2210     119  -7   0.022   -24                0   460 
174  June 22              1800-2155     117 -13   0.019   -30                0   680 


Goldstone Track Assignments

              

Scheduled Transmit Windows
--------------------------
      UT                                                                   Duration
DOY  Date                          UTC        AST       California          hh:mm  
---  ----                       ---------  ---------  --------------------  ----- 
169  June 17-18 Thu  Goldstone  1800-0200             Thu Jun 17 1100-1900   8:00
170  June 18    Fri  Arecibo    1753-1946  1353-1546  Fri Jun 18 1053-1246   1:53  
171  June 19    Sat  Arecibo    1800-1923  1400-1523  Sat Jun 19 1100-1223   1:23  
172  June 20    Sun  Goldstone  0100-0200             Sat Jun 19 1800-1900   1:00
173  June 21    Mon  Goldstone  1745-2210             Mon Jun 21 1045-1510   4:25
174  June 22    Tue  Goldstone  1800-2155             Tue Jun 22 1100-1455   3:55

Relative Rotation Phase Coverage
Sky Motion 

From Jon Giorgini  Jun 04
 
With 765 optical observations spanning 1998-Sep-25 to 2004-Apr-25,
13 delay and 13 Doppler from 2001, the new 25143 Itokawa solution #105 
formal 3-sigma X/S-band uncertainties are as below.
   
 Date__(UT)__HR:MN   POS_3sigma  DOP_S-sig  DOP_X-sig  RT_delay-sig
 -----------------   ----------  ---------  ---------  ------------
 2004-Jun-17 00:00   1.73535929       0.12       0.42      0.000249
 2004-Jun-18 00:00   1.93845527       0.12       0.42      0.000242
 2004-Jun-19 00:00   2.18382576       0.12       0.42      0.000235
 2004-Jun-20 00:00   2.48403037       0.12       0.42      0.000226
 2004-Jun-21 00:00   2.85532624       0.11       0.41      0.000215
 2004-Jun-22 00:00   3.31685867       0.11       0.40      0.000203
 2004-Jun-23 00:00   3.88487000       0.10       0.37      0.000188

The Doppler three-sigma uncertainty corresponds to a range error 
drift rate of ~4.4 usec/day = 0.2 usec/h.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 

From Jon Giorgini, 2004 June 17

With 767 optical observations spanning 1998-Sep-25 to 2004-Apr-25
14 delay and 13 Doppler (including today's delay data), 3-sigma
X-band predicts are as follows:

 Date__(UT)__HR:MN     POS_3sigma  DOP_S-sig  DOP_X-sig  RT_delay-sig
 2004-Jun-17 00:00 *m  .957032869       0.02       0.07      0.000031
 2004-Jun-18 00:00 *m  1.05620542       0.02       0.07      0.000030
 2004-Jun-19 00:00 *m  1.17246847       0.02       0.07      0.000030
 2004-Jun-20 00:00 *m  1.30873993       0.02       0.07      0.000033
 2004-Jun-21 00:00 *m  1.46685510       0.02       0.07      0.000039
 2004-Jun-22 00:00 *m  1.64453535       0.02       0.07      0.000050
 2004-Jun-23 00:00 *m  1.82809314       0.02       0.07      0.000065
 2004-Jun-24 00:00 *m  1.97790036       0.02       0.07      0.000086

Doppler uncertainties above are probably optimistic due to uncalibrated
error sources.


Setups



ON THE SECOND TRACK WE WILL DO ONLY 1/8 usec IMAGING.
WE WILL USE SOLUTION 107

CW Setup

TX polarization           RCP
RCV polarization          LCP
Frequencies:              2
Dwell:                    10 seconds
Bandwidth:                4000 Hz 
Sampling interval:        2500 x 0.1 usec 
VME FFT for PSD files:    16384 for 0.244-Hz resolution
This will provide two looks per hop and it should place at least ten Doppler bins on the target.

Ranging setups:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

127 x 64 10-usec single sample

baud            10 usec
code            127
gates           127
FFT             64
CLT             ??
ncoh            4
bandwidth       196.85 Hz   
resolution      3.08 Hz
TXOFF           +31 Hz -> echo will be centered at +10.1 bins or in bin 32 + 10.1 = 42.1
This will place 1-2 Doppler bins on the target

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

127 x 64 11-usec single sample

baud            11 usec
code            127
gates           127
PRP             1397
FFT             64
CLT             ??
ncoh            4
bandwidth       178.95 Hz   
resolution      2.796 Hz
TXOFF           +28 Hz -> echo will be centered at +10 bins or in bin 32 + 10 = 42
This will place 1-2 Doppler bins on the target

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

127 x 64 1-usec single sample

baud            1 usec
code            127
gates           127
PRP             127
FFT             64
CLT             ??
ncoh            41
bandwidth       192.049 Hz   
resolution      3.001 Hz
TXOFF           +30 Hz-> echo would be centered at +10 bins or in bin 32 + 10 = 42

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

0.125-usec imaging

baud            0.125 usec
code            127
gates           127
FFT             64
ncoh            3936
bandwidth       16.004 Hz     
resolution      0.2501 Hz
TXOFF           +4 Hz = +16 bins -> bin 32 + 16 = 48
incoh sums      4 looks=> 8 sec/record => expect records per run ~ RTT/8

The echo should be up to ~4.5 Hz wide, depending on the longitude, so the echo could
fill somewhat more than one-half of the positive side of the passband.  This is the 
same imaging setup that we used for most of the Goldstone observations in 2001.  

Instructions

NOTE: Data should be moved to the appropriate subdirectories in stealth:/export/data0/rosema/25143_Itokawa/raw/

ITOKAWA POINTING:


   OSOD and initial predicts are set-up at Goldstone on stealth:

   /export/data2/osod/ops/25143_Itokawa/PRDX.OUT.s107
                                       /PUNCH.OUT.s107
                                       /EPH.OUT.s107

POINTING  
                                                  TX Offsets    
Date (UTC)   DOY  hhmmss    RA       Dec   Macro  LHA      Dec    RTT  OSOD

2004 06 22   174  170000 117.6571 -12.1195  A                     19.4  105
2004 06 22   174  180000 117.5483 -12.4009  A                     19.3
2004 06 22   174  190000 117.4321 -12.6848  A  0.0006  -0.0015    19.1
2004 06 22   174  200000 117.3097 -12.9707  A                     19.0
2004 06 22   174  210000 117.1827 -13.2584  AB                    18.9
2004 06 22   174  220000 117.0528 -13.5476   B                    18.8
2004 06 22   174  230000 116.9221 -13.8384   B 0.0006  -0.0015    18.7
2004 06 23   175  000000 116.7925 -14.1307   B                    18.6
2004 06 23   175  010000 116.6658 -14.4246   B                    18.5


PRDX.OUT.s107 TRANSMITTER: STATION #14, RECEIVER: STATION #14 RECEIVER U.T. RANGE DOPPLER LHA DEC RA EL 2004 JUN 22 18:10 19.2442288019 275706.282 309.3374 -12.4479 117.530 22.299 2004 JUN 22 18:20 19.2249320388 274889.344 311.8633 -12.4951 117.511 23.923 2004 JUN 22 18:30 19.2056936386 274041.236 314.3895 -12.5424 117.492 25.502 2004 JUN 22 18:40 19.1865157420 273163.224 316.9158 -12.5897 117.472 27.032 2004 JUN 22 18:50 19.1674003990 272256.626 319.4423 -12.6371 117.453 28.508 2004 JUN 22 19:00 19.1483495606 271322.819 321.9689 -12.6846 117.433 29.927 2004 JUN 22 19:10 19.1293650888 270363.232 324.4958 -12.7321 117.413 31.285 2004 JUN 22 19:20 19.1104487390 269379.342 327.0228 -12.7797 117.393 32.577 2004 JUN 22 19:30 19.0916021615 268372.673 329.5500 -12.8273 117.372 33.797 2004 JUN 22 19:40 19.0728268979 267344.794 332.0773 -12.8750 117.352 34.941 2004 JUN 22 19:50 19.0541243790 266297.313 334.6048 -12.9227 117.331 36.005 2004 JUN 22 20:00 19.0354959164 265231.876 337.1324 -12.9705 117.310 36.982 2004 JUN 22 20:10 19.0169427191 264150.163 339.6602 -13.0183 117.290 37.868 2004 JUN 22 20:20 18.9984658591 263053.885 342.1880 -13.0662 117.269 38.658 2004 JUN 22 20:30 18.9800663055 261944.779 344.7160 -13.1141 117.247 39.348 2004 JUN 22 20:40 18.9617448867 260824.610 347.2441 -13.1621 117.226 39.933 2004 JUN 22 20:50 18.9435023248 259695.158 349.7723 -13.2101 117.205 40.409 2004 JUN 22 21:00 18.9253391985 258558.223 352.3005 -13.2582 117.183 40.773 2004 JUN 22 21:10 18.9072559732 257415.618 354.8289 -13.3063 117.162 41.022 2004 JUN 22 21:20 18.8892529871 256269.166 357.3573 -13.3545 117.140 41.155 2004 JUN 22 21:30 18.8713304367 255120.694 359.8858 -13.4027 117.119 41.171 2004 JUN 22 21:40 18.8534884085 253972.034 2.4143 -13.4509 117.097 41.070 2004 JUN 22 21:50 18.8357268425 252825.016 4.9429 -13.4992 117.075 40.851 2004 JUN 22 22:00 18.8180455640 251681.464 7.4715 -13.5475 117.054 40.518

GOLDSTONE MASTERLOG

============================================================================== RCV file setup runs start -stop osod OFFSET TX Poln ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ June 17 CW 2 hops, 4 kHz, 10s dwell 9 180102-181056 105 none RCP VME & PFS 10 us, 127 code, ncoh=4 10 184245-185348 105 +31 Hz RCP VME & PFS 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 3 200946-201238 107 +5 Hz RCP VME & PFS 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 18 201428-203455 107 +4 Hz RCP VME & PFS 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 65 203627-215205 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 134 215733-003421 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 64 004516-015942 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ June 20 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 33 012944-020007 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ June 21 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 334 175301-221013 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ June 22 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 BISTATIC 203323-204459 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS DSS14 -> DSS26 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 BISTATIC 204500-205212 107 +1 Hz RCP VME & PFS DSS14 -> DSS26 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 BISTATIC 205213-212529 107 +0 Hz RCP VME & PFS DSS14 -> DSS26 1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 BISTATIC 212530-215520 107 -2 Hz RCP VME & PFS DSS14 -> DSS26 ==============================================================================
Dr. Steven J. Ostro | PHONE: (818) 354-3173 300-233 | FAX: (818) 354-9476 Jet Propulsion Laboratory | email: ostro@reason.jpl.nasa.gov Pasadena, CA 91109-8099

Asteroid Radar Astronomy