Itokawa 2004 Planning
Summary: In June 2004, both Arecibo and Goldstone will attempt delay-Doppler imaging of near-Earth asteroid 25143 Itokawa (1998 SF36), the target of Japan's Hayabusa (formerly MUSES-C) sample-return mission. The goals are to develop an optimally-refined physical model of the asteroid in preparation for Hayabusa's 2005 encounter, to use radar ranging to assist detection of Yarkovsky nongravitational (thermal emission) alteration of the asteroid's orbit, and to help to detect and measure "YORP" thermal-emission alteration of the asteroid's spin state. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Science Background: Asteroid 25143 Itokawa (1998 SF36) was discovered on Sep. 26, 1998, by LINEAR (MPEC 1998-S45). Of the roughly 1100 currently known near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) at least as bright (that is, with absolute magnitude H < 18.8), Itokawa is distinguished by having the lowest delta-V for a spacecraft rendezvous: 4.29 km/s vs. 5.95 for 433 Eros. This attribute is why the Japan's Hayabusa (formerly MUSES-C) mission to return a sample from an asteroid selected Itokawa as their target. The Hayabusa spacecraft is en route to a June 2005 rendezvous and a June 2007 return of the sample to Earth. Visible and near-infrared spectroscopy (Binzel et al. 2001) suggested that Itokawa has a surface composition like that of ordinary chondrite meteorites and is similar in spectral characteristics and modeled olivine/pyroxene content to the LL chondrite class. Kaasalainen et al. (2003) present photometry and an analysis yielding estimates of the asteroid's sidereal spin period, P = 12.132 +/- 0.0005 h, and pole direction: ecliptic long., lat. = 355, -84 +/- 5 deg. They estimated a three-dimensional shape, concluding that Itokawa is "elongated, with rough global dimension ratios a/b = 2.0, b/c = 1.3, but the elongation is not due to a bifurcated shape. The surface is not likely to contain major concavities. No significant albedo variegation was detected." We carried out radar observations of Itokawa during its 2001 close approach, obtained images with 15-meter resolution, and used those images along with photometric results to construct a preliminary estimate of Itokawa's shape (Ostro et al. 2004). Our model can be described as a slightly asymmetrical, slightly flattened ellipsoid with extents along its principal axes of 548 x 312 x 276 m +/- 10%. Itokawa's topography is very subdued compared to that of other asteroids for which spacecraft images or radar reconstructions are available. The asteroid's radar reflectivity and polarization properties indicate a near-surface bulk density within 20% of 2.5 g/cm^3. The orientational coverage of the strongest images from 2001 is more limited than that of the data sets used for other radar-derived 3-D models, in part because the asteroid's nearly half-day rotation period prevents any appreciable day-to-day migration in Arecibo's rotation-phase window.. The effect of this limitation on the reconstruction's accuracy depends strongly on the asteroid's detailed physical characteristics and may also extend to our ability to discern subtleties of the asteroid's spin state. Fortunately, Itokawa's June 2004 close approach (Table 1) will bring it to within about one-third of its 2001 minimum distance, and we expect that radar echoes during the observations proposed here will be very much stronger than those obtained in 2001. Arecibo images will be an order of magnitude stronger than Goldstone images. Our intention is to observe Itokawa at Arecibo at high signal-to-noise ratios until it goes south, and then for several days at Goldstone. The strong 2001 images were confined to subradar latitudes between +18 and +46 deg and the less than 40% of a rotation between west longitudes 135 and 276 deg. Our Arecibo tracks are at negative latitudes and, more importantly, west longitudes not imaged at all by Arecibo in 2001. We plan to use Goldstone to observe the asteroid at southern latitudes, which are needed to produce a new model that is more accurate, especially in its reconstruction of the shape of the asteroid's southern "hemisphere". The primary goal of our observations is to obtain decameter-resolution delay-Doppler images and to construct a refined Itokawa physical model, which is to be used by the Hayabusa Mission to orchestrate close-orbit maneuvering and sampling operations next year. Significant improvement in the fidelity of our reconstruction of Itokawa's shape, topography and spin state are expected. Additional, related goals are to use our images to help to measure Itokawa's nongravitational "Yarkovsky" acceleration as well as its "YORP" thermal-emission rotational slowing, as follows. The Yarkovsky effect, a very subtle nongravitational phenomenon involving acceleration of a rotating object due to its anisotropic thermal emission of absorbed sunlight, can cause an object's orbit to undergo semimajor axis drift (Rubincam 1995, Farinella et al. 1998, Bottke et al. 2000). Vokrouhlicky' et al. (2000) predicted that radar-refined orbits with sufficiently long astrometric time bases could permit detection of nongravitational acceleration of NEAs due to the Yarkovsky effect, and Chesley et al. (2003) recently achieved such a detection for 6489 Golevka. The available radar+optical astrometry may not allow detection of the Yarkovsky effect during Itokawa's close approach in June 2004, but if our proposed observations are successful, then range-Doppler tracking of the Hayabusa spacecraft during its 2005 Itokawa encounter should detect the effect. The Yarkovsky-O'Keefe-Radzievskii-Paddack (YORP) effect is the alteration of an asteroid's spin state by torques from the reflection and thermal re-emission of sunlight from the asteroid's surface (Rubincam 2000, Voukrouhlicky' and Capek 2002, Vokrouhlicky' et al. 2003). Vokrouhlicky' et al. (2004) predict that YORP rotational slowing of Itokawa should be detectable using optical lightcurves and radar images with a 2001-2004 time base. As with the Yarkovsky effect, the YORP effect depends on the asteroid's physical properties, including its shape, rotation state, mass, and surface properties. Therefore, the proposed observations can help to constrain not just Itokawa's shape and spin state, but its mass and thermal properties as well. REFERENCES Binzel R. P., A. S. Rivkin, S. J. Bus, J. M. Sunshine and T. H. Burbine 2001. MUSES-C target asteroid (25143) 1998 SF36: A reddened ordinary chondrite. Meteorit. Planet. Sci. 36, 1167-1172. Bottke, W. F. Jr., D. P. Rubincam, and J. A. Burns 2000. Yarkovsky thermal forces. Icarus 145, 301-331. Chesley, S. R., S. J. Ostro, D. Vokrouhlicky', D. Capek, J. D. Giorgini, M. C. Nolan, J. L. Margot, A. A. Hine, L. A. M. Benner, and A. B. Chamberlin 2003. Direct detection of the Yarkovsky effect via radar ranging to asteroid 6489 Golevka. Science 302, 1739-1742. Farinella D., D. Vokrouhlicky', and W. K. Hartmann W. K. 1998. Meteorite delivery via Yarkovsky orbital drift. Icarus 132,378-387. Kaasalainen, M., T. Kwiatkowski, M. Abe, J. Piironen, T. Nakamura, Y. Ohba, B. Dermawan, T. Farnham, F. Colas, S. Lowry, P. Weissman, R. J. Whiteley, D. J. Tholen, S. M. Larson, M. Yoshikawa, I. Toth, and F. P. Velichko 2003. CCD photometry and model of MUSES-C target (25143) 1998 SF36. Astron. Astrophys. 405, L29-L32. Ostro, S. J., L. A. M. Benner, M. C. Nolan, C. Magri, J. D. Giorgini, D. J. Scheeres, S. B. Broschart, M. Kaasalainen, D. Vokrouhlicky', S. R. Chesley, J. L. Margot, R. F. Jurgens, R. Rose, D. K. Yeomans, S. Suzuki, and E. M. De Jong 2004. Radar observations of asteroid 25143 Itokawa (1998 SF36). Meteorit. Planet. Sci. 39, 407-424. Rubincam, D. P. 1995. Asteroid orbit evolution due to thermal drag. J. Geophys. Res. 100, 1585-1594. Rubincam, D. P. 2000. Radiative spin-up and spin-down of small asteroids. Icarus 148, 2-11. Vokrouhlicky', D., A. Milani and S. R. Chesley 2000. Yarkovsky effect on small near-Earth asteroids: Mathematical formulation and examples. Icarus 148, 118-138. Voukrouhlicky', D. and D. Capek 2002. YORP-Induced long-term evolution of the spin state of small asteroids and meteoroids: Rubincam's approximation. Icarus 159, 449-467. Vokrouhlicky', D., D. Nesvorny, and W. F. Bottke, Jr. 2003. The vector alignments of asteroid spins by thermal torques. Nature 425, 147-151. Vokrouhlicky', D., D. Capek, M. Kaasalainen, and S. J. Ostro 2004. Detectability of YORP rotational slowing of asteroid 25143 Itokawa. Astron. Astrophys. 414, L21-L24. Last updated: 2004 June 24
UTC TX Windows
---------------------
Arecibo Goldstone Itokawa Max SNR/Run
start-stop start-stop RA Dec Dist. Subradar -----------
hhmm-hhmm hhmm-hhmm deg deg AU Lat. W.Long A G
167 June 15 unavailable 125 +10 0.040 -5 88 @AOX 970
168 June 16 unavailable 125 +9 0.037 -7 77 @AOX 1300
169 June 17 unavailable 1800-0200 124 +7 0.034 -9 66 @AOX 1700 90
170 June 18 1753-1946 123 +4 0.031 -11 55 @AOX 2400 130
171 June 19 1800-1923 122 +1 0.027 -14 45 @AOX 3200 200
172 June 20 0100-0200 121 -3 0.025 -19 0 300
173 June 21 1745-2210 119 -7 0.022 -24 0 460
174 June 22 1800-2155 117 -13 0.019 -30 0 680
Scheduled Transmit Windows
--------------------------
UT Duration
DOY Date UTC AST California hh:mm
--- ---- --------- --------- -------------------- -----
169 June 17-18 Thu Goldstone 1800-0200 Thu Jun 17 1100-1900 8:00
170 June 18 Fri Arecibo 1753-1946 1353-1546 Fri Jun 18 1053-1246 1:53
171 June 19 Sat Arecibo 1800-1923 1400-1523 Sat Jun 19 1100-1223 1:23
172 June 20 Sun Goldstone 0100-0200 Sat Jun 19 1800-1900 1:00
173 June 21 Mon Goldstone 1745-2210 Mon Jun 21 1045-1510 4:25
174 June 22 Tue Goldstone 1800-2155 Tue Jun 22 1100-1455 3:55
Relative Rotation Phase Coverage
Sky Motion
From Jon Giorgini Jun 04 With 765 optical observations spanning 1998-Sep-25 to 2004-Apr-25, 13 delay and 13 Doppler from 2001, the new 25143 Itokawa solution #105 formal 3-sigma X/S-band uncertainties are as below. Date__(UT)__HR:MN POS_3sigma DOP_S-sig DOP_X-sig RT_delay-sig ----------------- ---------- --------- --------- ------------ 2004-Jun-17 00:00 1.73535929 0.12 0.42 0.000249 2004-Jun-18 00:00 1.93845527 0.12 0.42 0.000242 2004-Jun-19 00:00 2.18382576 0.12 0.42 0.000235 2004-Jun-20 00:00 2.48403037 0.12 0.42 0.000226 2004-Jun-21 00:00 2.85532624 0.11 0.41 0.000215 2004-Jun-22 00:00 3.31685867 0.11 0.40 0.000203 2004-Jun-23 00:00 3.88487000 0.10 0.37 0.000188 The Doppler three-sigma uncertainty corresponds to a range error drift rate of ~4.4 usec/day = 0.2 usec/h. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - From Jon Giorgini, 2004 June 17 With 767 optical observations spanning 1998-Sep-25 to 2004-Apr-25 14 delay and 13 Doppler (including today's delay data), 3-sigma X-band predicts are as follows: Date__(UT)__HR:MN POS_3sigma DOP_S-sig DOP_X-sig RT_delay-sig 2004-Jun-17 00:00 *m .957032869 0.02 0.07 0.000031 2004-Jun-18 00:00 *m 1.05620542 0.02 0.07 0.000030 2004-Jun-19 00:00 *m 1.17246847 0.02 0.07 0.000030 2004-Jun-20 00:00 *m 1.30873993 0.02 0.07 0.000033 2004-Jun-21 00:00 *m 1.46685510 0.02 0.07 0.000039 2004-Jun-22 00:00 *m 1.64453535 0.02 0.07 0.000050 2004-Jun-23 00:00 *m 1.82809314 0.02 0.07 0.000065 2004-Jun-24 00:00 *m 1.97790036 0.02 0.07 0.000086 Doppler uncertainties above are probably optimistic due to uncalibrated error sources.
ON THE SECOND TRACK WE WILL DO ONLY 1/8 usec IMAGING. WE WILL USE SOLUTION 107 CW Setup TX polarization RCP RCV polarization LCP Frequencies: 2 Dwell: 10 seconds Bandwidth: 4000 Hz Sampling interval: 2500 x 0.1 usec VME FFT for PSD files: 16384 for 0.244-Hz resolution This will provide two looks per hop and it should place at least ten Doppler bins on the target. Ranging setups: --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 127 x 64 10-usec single sample baud 10 usec code 127 gates 127 FFT 64 CLT ?? ncoh 4 bandwidth 196.85 Hz resolution 3.08 Hz TXOFF +31 Hz -> echo will be centered at +10.1 bins or in bin 32 + 10.1 = 42.1 This will place 1-2 Doppler bins on the target --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 127 x 64 11-usec single sample baud 11 usec code 127 gates 127 PRP 1397 FFT 64 CLT ?? ncoh 4 bandwidth 178.95 Hz resolution 2.796 Hz TXOFF +28 Hz -> echo will be centered at +10 bins or in bin 32 + 10 = 42 This will place 1-2 Doppler bins on the target ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 127 x 64 1-usec single sample baud 1 usec code 127 gates 127 PRP 127 FFT 64 CLT ?? ncoh 41 bandwidth 192.049 Hz resolution 3.001 Hz TXOFF +30 Hz-> echo would be centered at +10 bins or in bin 32 + 10 = 42 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0.125-usec imaging baud 0.125 usec code 127 gates 127 FFT 64 ncoh 3936 bandwidth 16.004 Hz resolution 0.2501 Hz TXOFF +4 Hz = +16 bins -> bin 32 + 16 = 48 incoh sums 4 looks=> 8 sec/record => expect records per run ~ RTT/8 The echo should be up to ~4.5 Hz wide, depending on the longitude, so the echo could fill somewhat more than one-half of the positive side of the passband. This is the same imaging setup that we used for most of the Goldstone observations in 2001.
OSOD and initial predicts are set-up at Goldstone on stealth:
/export/data2/osod/ops/25143_Itokawa/PRDX.OUT.s107
/PUNCH.OUT.s107
/EPH.OUT.s107
POINTING
TX Offsets
Date (UTC) DOY hhmmss RA Dec Macro LHA Dec RTT OSOD
2004 06 22 174 170000 117.6571 -12.1195 A 19.4 105
2004 06 22 174 180000 117.5483 -12.4009 A 19.3
2004 06 22 174 190000 117.4321 -12.6848 A 0.0006 -0.0015 19.1
2004 06 22 174 200000 117.3097 -12.9707 A 19.0
2004 06 22 174 210000 117.1827 -13.2584 AB 18.9
2004 06 22 174 220000 117.0528 -13.5476 B 18.8
2004 06 22 174 230000 116.9221 -13.8384 B 0.0006 -0.0015 18.7
2004 06 23 175 000000 116.7925 -14.1307 B 18.6
2004 06 23 175 010000 116.6658 -14.4246 B 18.5
PRDX.OUT.s107
TRANSMITTER: STATION #14, RECEIVER: STATION #14
RECEIVER U.T. RANGE DOPPLER LHA DEC RA EL
2004 JUN 22 18:10 19.2442288019 275706.282 309.3374 -12.4479 117.530 22.299
2004 JUN 22 18:20 19.2249320388 274889.344 311.8633 -12.4951 117.511 23.923
2004 JUN 22 18:30 19.2056936386 274041.236 314.3895 -12.5424 117.492 25.502
2004 JUN 22 18:40 19.1865157420 273163.224 316.9158 -12.5897 117.472 27.032
2004 JUN 22 18:50 19.1674003990 272256.626 319.4423 -12.6371 117.453 28.508
2004 JUN 22 19:00 19.1483495606 271322.819 321.9689 -12.6846 117.433 29.927
2004 JUN 22 19:10 19.1293650888 270363.232 324.4958 -12.7321 117.413 31.285
2004 JUN 22 19:20 19.1104487390 269379.342 327.0228 -12.7797 117.393 32.577
2004 JUN 22 19:30 19.0916021615 268372.673 329.5500 -12.8273 117.372 33.797
2004 JUN 22 19:40 19.0728268979 267344.794 332.0773 -12.8750 117.352 34.941
2004 JUN 22 19:50 19.0541243790 266297.313 334.6048 -12.9227 117.331 36.005
2004 JUN 22 20:00 19.0354959164 265231.876 337.1324 -12.9705 117.310 36.982
2004 JUN 22 20:10 19.0169427191 264150.163 339.6602 -13.0183 117.290 37.868
2004 JUN 22 20:20 18.9984658591 263053.885 342.1880 -13.0662 117.269 38.658
2004 JUN 22 20:30 18.9800663055 261944.779 344.7160 -13.1141 117.247 39.348
2004 JUN 22 20:40 18.9617448867 260824.610 347.2441 -13.1621 117.226 39.933
2004 JUN 22 20:50 18.9435023248 259695.158 349.7723 -13.2101 117.205 40.409
2004 JUN 22 21:00 18.9253391985 258558.223 352.3005 -13.2582 117.183 40.773
2004 JUN 22 21:10 18.9072559732 257415.618 354.8289 -13.3063 117.162 41.022
2004 JUN 22 21:20 18.8892529871 256269.166 357.3573 -13.3545 117.140 41.155
2004 JUN 22 21:30 18.8713304367 255120.694 359.8858 -13.4027 117.119 41.171
2004 JUN 22 21:40 18.8534884085 253972.034 2.4143 -13.4509 117.097 41.070
2004 JUN 22 21:50 18.8357268425 252825.016 4.9429 -13.4992 117.075 40.851
2004 JUN 22 22:00 18.8180455640 251681.464 7.4715 -13.5475 117.054 40.518
GOLDSTONE MASTERLOG
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RCV
file setup runs start -stop osod OFFSET TX Poln
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June 17
CW 2 hops, 4 kHz, 10s dwell 9 180102-181056 105 none RCP VME & PFS
10 us, 127 code, ncoh=4 10 184245-185348 105 +31 Hz RCP VME & PFS
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 3 200946-201238 107 +5 Hz RCP VME & PFS
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 18 201428-203455 107 +4 Hz RCP VME & PFS
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 65 203627-215205 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 134 215733-003421 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 64 004516-015942 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS
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June 20
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 33 012944-020007 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS
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June 21
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 334 175301-221013 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS
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June 22
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 BISTATIC 203323-204459 107 +3 Hz RCP VME & PFS DSS14 -> DSS26
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 BISTATIC 204500-205212 107 +1 Hz RCP VME & PFS DSS14 -> DSS26
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 BISTATIC 205213-212529 107 +0 Hz RCP VME & PFS DSS14 -> DSS26
1/8 us,127 code, ncoh=3936 BISTATIC 212530-215520 107 -2 Hz RCP VME & PFS DSS14 -> DSS26
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Dr. Steven J. Ostro | PHONE: (818) 354-3173
300-233 | FAX: (818) 354-9476
Jet Propulsion Laboratory | email: ostro@reason.jpl.nasa.gov
Pasadena, CA 91109-8099